In essence, the Tugboat portfolios are structured on asset allocation principles designed to protect against risk, are dynamically monitored to assure constant fidelity to their assigned risk limitations, and tactically adjusted as needed to stay on target with our clients’ expectations. Clients are assured that their portfolio never exceeds the amount of risk they select.
When constructing these tactical asset allocation portfolios, an optimal number of asset classes are selected. Academic studies have determined that optimal portfolio diversification can be attained with as few as eight asset classes. We then graph the risk and return values of these asset classes on an efficient frontier chart to determine the most appropriate asset classes for achieving the five different risk levels of our five Tugboat portfolios.
When constructing these tactical asset allocation portfolios, just as with the Tugboat portfolios, an optimal number of asset classes are selected, however this time the asset classes are selected for high returns. We then graph the risk and return values of these asset classes on an efficient frontier chart to determine the most appropriate asset classes for achieving high returns. The Speedboat portfolios are tactically dynamic on a quarterly basis, which means their performance is monitored regularly, but analyzed for potential adjustment only every three months.
As with our other portfolios, there are five risk classifications:
Focused Tactical Allocation (FTA): The FTA method is designed to take advantage of shifting market conditions by increasing the level of investment in asset classes that are expected to outperform, or, as appropriate, in investments that we have identified are likely to reduce the portfolio’s risk. The FTA model is tactically responsive to immediate market movements and trends.
Synergy Focused Tactical Allocation (FTA) portfolios are designed to outperform the U.S. equity and bond markets in all environments, whether advancing or declining, and they are built uniquely different than most of the models you’ll find on Wall Street. Our portfolios do not try to predict the market’s outcomes, nor are they based on the opinions of analysts. Instead, our FTA portfolios are built on an innovative mathematical blend of technical and fundamental facts, and are constantly monitored.
Moreover, our FTA models do not require the markets to be efficient or for investors to be rational. If fact, we use this to our advantage and is one of the reasons we do not require our models to remain fully invested during bear markets, sometimes choosing, as circumstances merit, to wait in safe cash investments until market indicators change.
The exact science behind our FTA models is an intellectual property trade secret; however, we can tell you that the essence of our system predicates on measurements that reveal inconsistencies in the continuous tug-of-war between supply and demand imbalances. In addition to supply and demand, we use a weighted blend of specific fundamental factors/facts to guide our portfolio construction.
Our unique fusion of factors/facts helps us take advantage of current market trends and significantly increases the probability of being on the right side of the trade. Although there is no guarantee that the current factors/facts will lead to success, our experience with trading the trends supported by momentum and volume and performing within selected cycle indicators have repeatedly won the satisfaction of our clients.
The FTA models seek performance persistency based on the acknowledged fact that the strength and weakness of the trend are more likely to continue than reverse. Researchers have labeled this phenomenon as momentum, and have documented its widespread existence in the markets over a span of many decades. Momentum can be found in both bull and bear markets. For example, in the stock market, higher performance has been shown more likely to continue at any given time than to reverse. The same is true for low performance as it, too, has been proven more likely to continue at any given time than reverse.
Regardless of the market’s direction, our FTA models are positioned to take advantage of the factors/facts present in the market. We make no attempt to predict changes in the market; instead, our process relies on the rigorous and continuous measurement of actual performance.
Momentum, relative strength, rate-of-change, nearness-to-52-week-highs, and other measurements of performance characteristics are all combined to produce rankings of portfolio candidates. Moreover, we examine these factors with a multitude of technical studies and charts. The following are only a few of the indicators we use daily:
Some investment managers prefer to use just one technique, but this method is very limiting, like applying a hammer to do every task, including those requiring a screwdriver. To achieve the best results, an investor must use the right tool for the job, and this is why we take a 360-degree perspective before we trade, looking at many factors through the lens of a wide variety of technical tools.
With our FTA portfolios, in which we are always seeking the “best of the best” securities, high-performers are selected and low-performers are discarded using a multifactor ranking algorithm, and this process is repeated regularly at monthly, quarterly, or even weekly intervals. Most importantly, the process is repeated every time one of our technical alarms alerts us. This process of continuous self-renewal is intended to capture the benefits of long-term winners, without being weighed down by the unnecessary inclusion of underperforms.
Combining trend identification with advanced portfolio construction gives us a simple yet complete strategy, and provides clear guidance on when to be defensive and when to be aggressive. Our clients achieve their financial objectives by staying on track with portfolios designed to minimize risk and maximize compounding wealth.